A Escola das Odds

Ñublense v La Serena

Início: 2026-03-15 23:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ñublense (Local)

Previsão 47.03%2.13odd justa
EV -3.12%
Vantagem -1.51%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.29%47.18%46.99%50.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.781.931.952.0656.18%51.80%51.28%48.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

La Serena (Visitante)

Previsão 25.01%4.00odd justa
EV +3.78%
Vantagem +0.910%
Kelly +1.20%
Crescimento +0.045%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.88%24.88%25.09%26.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.703.694.1530.30%27.03%27.10%24.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.96%3.58odd justa
EV -2.13%
Vantagem -0.608%
Kelly -0.851%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.59%27.94%27.93%29.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.273.303.5035.71%30.57%30.30%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -10.64%E -5.60%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV +3.78%E +0.910%K +1.20%G +0.045%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.13%E -0.608%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:20
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 09:20
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 09:20
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 09:19
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 09:19
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 09:19
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.42%EV -13.46%E -7.32%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -1.23%E -0.310%K -0.416%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-09 09:24
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.94%EV -3.59%E -1.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.67%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.39%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.54%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -7.16%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:25
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.54%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -7.16%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -15.35%E -8.53%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 22:55
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.21%EV -13.93%E -7.61%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 23:00
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 48.07%EV -6.41%E -3.22%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.59%EV -2.73%E -0.701%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -2.13%E -0.608%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 22:35
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.26%EV -4.53%E -2.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.85%EV -3.48%E -0.901%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.89%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:25
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 23:25
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.99%E -7.02%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 23:20
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.59%E -1.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 23:25
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.94%E -2.97%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 23:23
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 23:15
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 23:15
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 23:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 23:25
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 23:25
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.06%EV -7.35%E -3.73%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -7.98%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -6.60%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 23:25
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -15.35%E -8.53%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -7.98%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 23:25
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.93%EV -7.82%E -3.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 23:20
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 23:23
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 23:25
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 23:25
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 23:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.17%E -5.33%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 23:25
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 23:19
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.05%EV -8.76%E -4.52%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 23:20
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 23:20
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 23:20
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 23:20
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 23:25
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 23:25
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.17%E -5.33%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 23:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.91%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 23:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -5.94%E -2.97%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.98%E -4.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 23:20
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -11.58%E -6.16%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -14.98%E -4.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 23:20
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 47.10%EV -16.29%E -9.15%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.41%EV -17.48%E -5.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.49%EV -14.71%E -4.82%K -7.18%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.29%EV -13.93%E -7.61%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -17.48%E -5.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.60%EV -21.70%E -7.75%K -12.06%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-03-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-03-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-03-15 23:25
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.93%2.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.0%2026-03-15 23:25