مدرسة الاحتمالاتÑublense v La Serena
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Ñublense (المضيف)
التنبؤ 47.03%2.13السعر العادل
EV -3.12%
الأفضلية -1.51%
Kelly -2.94%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.29%47.18%46.99%50.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.781.931.952.0656.18%51.80%51.28%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
La Serena (الضيف)
التنبؤ 25.01%4.00السعر العادل
EV +3.78%
الأفضلية +0.910%
Kelly +1.20%
النمو +0.045%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.15
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.88%24.88%25.09%26.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.703.694.1530.30%27.03%27.10%24.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 27.96%3.58السعر العادل
EV -2.13%
الأفضلية -0.608%
Kelly -0.851%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.59%27.94%27.93%29.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.273.303.5035.71%30.57%30.30%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -10.64%E -5.60%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV +3.78%E +0.910%K +1.20%G +0.045% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.13%E -0.608%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:20 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.42%EV -13.46%E -7.32%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -1.23%E -0.310%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-09 09:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.94%EV -3.59%E -1.75%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.67%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.39%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.54%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -7.16%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.54%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -7.16%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -15.35%E -8.53%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.21%EV -13.93%E -7.61%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.07%EV -6.41%E -3.22%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.59%EV -2.73%E -0.701%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -2.13%E -0.608%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.26%EV -4.53%E -2.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.85%EV -3.48%E -0.901%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.89%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.99%E -7.02%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.59%E -1.75%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.94%E -2.97%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 23:23 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.06%EV -7.35%E -3.73%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -7.98%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -6.60%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -15.35%E -8.53%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -7.98%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.93%EV -7.82%E -3.99%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 23:23 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.17%E -5.33%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 23:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.05%EV -8.76%E -4.52%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.17%E -5.33%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.91%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -5.94%E -2.97%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.98%E -4.41%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -11.58%E -6.16%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -14.98%E -4.41%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 47.10%EV -16.29%E -9.15%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.41%EV -17.48%E -5.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.49%EV -14.71%E -4.82%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.29%EV -13.93%E -7.61%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -17.48%E -5.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.60%EV -21.70%E -7.75%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.93% | 2.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |