L’École des cotesÑublense v La Serena
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ñublense (Local)
Prévision 47.03%2.13cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -2.94%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.29%47.18%46.99%50.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.931.952.0656.18%51.80%51.28%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
La Serena (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.01%4.00cote équitable
EV +3.78%
Avantage +0.910%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.045%
avec la cote maximale 4.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.88%24.88%25.09%26.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.694.1530.30%27.03%27.10%24.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.96%3.58cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -0.608%
Kelly -0.851%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.59%27.94%27.93%29.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.273.303.5035.71%30.57%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -10.64%E -5.60%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV +3.78%E +0.910%K +1.20%G +0.045% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.13%E -0.608%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:20 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.42%EV -13.46%E -7.32%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -1.23%E -0.310%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-09 09:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.94%EV -3.59%E -1.75%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.67%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.39%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.54%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -7.16%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.54%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -7.16%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -15.35%E -8.53%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.21%EV -13.93%E -7.61%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.07%EV -6.41%E -3.22%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.59%EV -2.73%E -0.701%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -2.13%E -0.608%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.26%EV -4.53%E -2.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.85%EV -3.48%E -0.901%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.89%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.99%E -7.02%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.59%E -1.75%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.94%E -2.97%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 23:23 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.06%EV -7.35%E -3.73%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -7.98%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -6.60%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -15.35%E -8.53%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -7.98%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.93%EV -7.82%E -3.99%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 23:23 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.17%E -5.33%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 23:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.05%EV -8.76%E -4.52%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.17%E -5.33%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.91%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -5.94%E -2.97%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.98%E -4.41%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -11.58%E -6.16%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -14.98%E -4.41%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 47.10%EV -16.29%E -9.15%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.41%EV -17.48%E -5.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.49%EV -14.71%E -4.82%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.29%EV -13.93%E -7.61%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -17.48%E -5.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.60%EV -21.70%E -7.75%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.93% | 2.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |