La escuela de los momiosÑublense v La Serena
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ñublense (Local)
Predicción 47.03%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -2.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.29%47.18%46.99%50.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.931.952.0656.18%51.80%51.28%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
La Serena (Visitante)
Predicción 25.01%4.00momio equitativo
EV +3.78%
Ventaja +0.910%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.045%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.88%24.88%25.09%26.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.703.694.1530.30%27.03%27.10%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.96%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.608%
Kelly -0.851%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.59%27.94%27.93%29.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.273.303.5035.71%30.57%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -10.64%E -5.60%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV +3.78%E +0.910%K +1.20%G +0.045% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.13%E -0.608%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:20 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.42%EV -13.46%E -7.32%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -1.23%E -0.310%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-09 09:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.94%EV -3.59%E -1.75%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.67%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.39%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.54%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -7.16%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.54%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -7.16%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -15.35%E -8.53%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.21%EV -13.93%E -7.61%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -2.48%E -0.635%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.07%EV -6.41%E -3.22%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.59%EV -2.73%E -0.701%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -2.13%E -0.608%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.26%EV -4.53%E -2.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.85%EV -3.48%E -0.901%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.89%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.99%E -7.02%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.59%E -1.75%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.94%E -2.97%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 23:23 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.88%E -3.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.06%EV -7.35%E -3.73%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -7.98%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -6.60%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -15.35%E -8.53%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -7.98%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.93%EV -7.82%E -3.99%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 23:23 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.17%E -5.33%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 23:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.05%EV -8.76%E -4.52%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.23%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.29%E -4.25%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.17%E -5.33%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -12.05%E -6.45%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -12.48%E -3.57%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.91%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -5.94%E -2.97%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.98%E -4.41%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -11.58%E -6.16%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -14.98%E -4.41%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 47.10%EV -16.29%E -9.15%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.41%EV -17.48%E -5.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.49%EV -14.71%E -4.82%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.29%EV -13.93%E -7.61%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -17.48%E -5.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.60%EV -21.70%E -7.75%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.93% | 2.3% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |