Language:English
La Serena v Colo Colo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
La Serena (Local)
Prediction 29.26%3.42fair odd
EV +6.79%
Edge +1.86%
Kelly +2.56%
Growth +0.174%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.16%28.91%29.36%30.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.203.6534.72%31.12%31.25%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colo Colo (Visit)
Prediction 43.46%2.30fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.87%43.84%43.36%47.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.082.102.2253.19%48.17%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.28%3.67fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -0.964%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%27.25%27.28%28.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.343.353.5434.72%29.95%29.85%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: La Serena (Local): 29.26%; Colo Colo (Visit): 43.46%; Draw: 27.28%. For La Serena (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -16.56%E -8.63%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV +5.33%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.109% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.16%EV -10.04%E -4.85%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV +5.33%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.109% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -17.43%E -9.18%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV +3.87%E +1.09%K +1.52%G +0.059% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -18.30%E -9.73%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV +0.064%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.70%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.26%E -7.83%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.44%EV -4.32%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -3.53%E -1.59%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -3.41%E -0.964%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.93%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.26%EV -5.26%E -2.41%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.82%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -5.79%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -8.32%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 18:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -13.09%E -6.54%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -7.00%E -3.27%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.01%EV -14.39%E -7.30%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.69%E -4.64%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -15.15%E -5.22%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -15.74%E -5.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -17.00%E -8.90%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -21.42%E -7.44%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.67% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56% | 2.2% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |