L’École des cotesLa Serena v Colo Colo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
La Serena (Local)
Prévision 29.26%3.42cote équitable
EV +6.79%
Avantage +1.86%
Kelly +2.56%
Croissance +0.174%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.16%28.91%29.36%30.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.203.6534.72%31.12%31.25%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Colo Colo (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.46%2.30cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -2.89%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.87%43.84%43.36%47.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.082.102.2253.19%48.17%47.62%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.28%3.67cote équitable
EV -3.41%
Avantage -0.964%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.50%27.25%27.28%28.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.343.353.5434.72%29.95%29.85%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -16.56%E -8.63%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 18:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV +5.33%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.109% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.16%EV -10.04%E -4.85%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV +5.33%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.109% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -17.43%E -9.18%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV +3.87%E +1.09%K +1.52%G +0.059% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -18.30%E -9.73%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV +0.064%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.70%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.26%E -7.83%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.44%EV -4.32%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -3.53%E -1.59%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -3.41%E -0.964%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| GTbets | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.93%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.26%EV -5.26%E -2.41%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.82%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -5.79%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -8.32%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 18:49 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| BetAnything | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -13.09%E -6.54%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -7.00%E -3.27%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.01%EV -14.39%E -7.30%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.69%E -4.64%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -15.15%E -5.22%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -15.74%E -5.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -17.00%E -8.90%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -21.42%E -7.44%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.67% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56% | 2.2% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |