La scuola delle quote

La Serena v Colo Colo

Inizio: 2026-05-30 19:00 UTC

Finale: La Serena 2–4 Colo Colo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

La Serena (Casa)

Previsione 29.26%3.42quota equa
EV +6.79%
Vantaggio +1.86%
Kelly +2.56%
Crescita +0.174%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.16%28.91%29.36%30.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.213.203.6534.72%31.12%31.25%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Colo Colo (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.46%2.30quota equa
EV -3.53%
Vantaggio -1.59%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.87%43.84%43.36%47.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.882.082.102.2253.19%48.17%47.62%45.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.28%3.67quota equa
EV -3.41%
Vantaggio -0.964%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.50%27.25%27.28%28.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.343.353.5434.72%29.95%29.85%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 18:50
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 18:50
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 18:50
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 18:50
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -16.56%E -8.63%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 18:45
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV +5.33%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.109%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.16%EV -10.04%E -4.85%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 18:49
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV +5.33%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.109%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -17.43%E -9.18%K -19.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 18:50
Virgin Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV +3.87%E +1.09%K +1.52%G +0.059%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -18.30%E -9.73%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 18:50
1xBet3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV +0.064%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.70%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 18:50
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.26%E -7.83%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-30 18:50
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 29.44%EV -4.32%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -3.53%E -1.59%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -3.41%E -0.964%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 18:40
GTbets3.26I 30.67%NM 28.93%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.26%EV -5.26%E -2.41%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.82%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:50
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:39
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -5.79%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -8.32%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 18:49
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 18:40
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:50
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:50
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:50
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:50
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 18:50
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 18:50
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 18:30
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -13.09%E -6.54%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 18:40
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 18:40
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 18:40
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 18:50
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 18:40
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 18:40
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -7.00%E -3.27%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 18:40
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 18:50
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 18:50
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 18:50
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-30 18:50
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 18:40
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 18:40
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 18:40
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 18:40
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 18:50
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 18:50
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 18:50
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.01%EV -14.39%E -7.30%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-30 18:40
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.69%E -4.64%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-30 18:40
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -15.15%E -5.22%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-30 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -15.74%E -5.46%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -17.00%E -8.90%K -18.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -21.42%E -7.44%K -11.39%G +0.000%21.8%2026-05-30 18:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-05-30 18:50
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.1%2026-05-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-05-30 18:50
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.67%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%2.2%2026-05-30 18:50