La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
La Serena v Colo Colo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
La Serena (Local)
Predicción 29.26%3.42momio equitativo
EV +6.79%
Ventaja +1.86%
Kelly +2.56%
Crecimiento +0.174%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.16%28.91%29.36%30.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.203.6534.72%31.12%31.25%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Colo Colo (Visitante)
Predicción 43.46%2.30momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -2.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.87%43.84%43.36%47.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.082.102.2253.19%48.17%47.62%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.28%3.67momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -0.964%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.50%27.25%27.28%28.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.353.5434.72%29.95%29.85%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -16.13%E -8.36%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV +6.79%E +1.86%K +2.56%G +0.174% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -16.56%E -8.63%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 18:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV +5.33%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.109% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.16%EV -10.04%E -4.85%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV +5.33%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.109% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -17.43%E -9.18%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV +3.87%E +1.09%K +1.52%G +0.059% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -18.30%E -9.73%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV +0.064%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.70%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.26%E -7.83%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.44%EV -4.32%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -3.53%E -1.59%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -3.41%E -0.964%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| GTbets | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.93%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.26%EV -5.26%E -2.41%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.82%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -5.79%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -8.32%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 18:49 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| BetAnything | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 18:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -13.09%E -6.54%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -7.00%E -3.27%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.01%EV -14.39%E -7.30%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.69%E -4.64%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -15.15%E -5.22%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -15.74%E -5.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -17.00%E -8.90%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -21.42%E -7.44%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.67% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56% | 2.2% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |