Language:English
Huachipato v Union La Calera
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Huachipato (Local)
Prediction 43.51%2.30fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.80%43.66%43.40%46.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.75%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Union La Calera (Visit)
Prediction 28.07%3.56fair odd
EV -0.337%
Edge -0.095%
Kelly -0.132%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%27.95%28.28%29.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.253.253.5533.90%30.78%30.77%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.42%3.52fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -0.996%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%28.39%28.32%29.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.233.253.4035.71%30.94%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Huachipato (Local): 43.51%; Union La Calera (Visit): 28.07%; Draw: 28.42%. For Union La Calera (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -0.337%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.337%E -0.095%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 04:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 04:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -0.337%E -0.095%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 04:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 05:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 04:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 06:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 04:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.73%EV -7.32%E -3.44%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.16%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -3.43%E -0.996%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -8.50%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 09:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:18 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 04:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.39%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 07:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.13%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -8.50%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 04:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 04:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 06:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 06:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 06:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 06:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -9.93%E -4.80%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 17:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.39%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 06:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 13:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.05%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.18%EV -17.18%E -5.82%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-16 06:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -13.85%E -7.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-17 04:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.16%E -7.77%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -16.90%E -8.85%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -15.78%E -5.26%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -20.44%E -7.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.86% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 05:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 07:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 07:45 |