La scuola delle quote

Huachipato v Union La Calera

Inizio: 2026-05-17 16:30 UTC

Finale: Huachipato 3–1 Union La Calera

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Huachipato (Casa)

Previsione 43.51%2.30quota equa
EV -4.28%
Vantaggio -1.94%
Kelly -3.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.80%43.66%43.40%46.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.75%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Union La Calera (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.07%3.56quota equa
EV -0.337%
Vantaggio -0.095%
Kelly -0.132%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.50%27.95%28.28%29.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.253.253.5533.90%30.78%30.77%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.42%3.52quota equa
EV -3.39%
Vantaggio -0.996%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.11%28.39%28.32%29.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.233.253.4035.71%30.94%30.77%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.337%E -0.095%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 04:45
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 04:05
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:35
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:35
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -0.337%E -0.095%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 04:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 05:35
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 04:35
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 06:55
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 04:20
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 04:10
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 43.73%EV -7.32%E -3.44%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.16%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 16:35
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -3.43%E -0.996%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -8.50%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 09:25
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 09:20
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 09:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:18
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:19
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:19
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:19
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 17:19
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 04:35
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.39%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 07:49
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.13%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -8.50%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 09:20
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 04:09
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 04:10
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 17:19
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 04:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:55
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 16:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 16:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 16:45
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -9.93%E -4.80%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 17:18
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.39%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:35
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-14 13:25
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 16:40
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 06:55
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-14 13:25
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 13:25
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-14 13:24
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-14 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.05%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.18%EV -17.18%E -5.82%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-16 06:55
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -13.85%E -7.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 04:35
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.16%E -7.77%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -16.90%E -8.85%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -15.78%E -5.26%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -20.44%E -7.30%K -11.35%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-16 16:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-05-17 06:50
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.3%2026-05-17 05:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%3.5%2026-05-17 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%3.5%2026-05-17 07:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%4.3%2026-05-17 07:45