مدرسة الاحتمالات

Huachipato v Union La Calera

البداية: 2026-05-17 16:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Huachipato 3–1 Union La Calera

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Huachipato (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.51%2.30السعر العادل
EV -4.28%
الأفضلية -1.94%
Kelly -3.57%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.80%43.66%43.40%46.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.75%47.62%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Union La Calera (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.07%3.56السعر العادل
EV -0.337%
الأفضلية -0.095%
Kelly -0.132%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.50%27.95%28.28%29.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.253.253.5533.90%30.78%30.77%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.42%3.52السعر العادل
EV -3.39%
الأفضلية -0.996%
Kelly -1.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.11%28.39%28.32%29.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.233.253.4035.71%30.94%30.77%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.337%E -0.095%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 04:45
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 04:05
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:35
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:35
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -0.337%E -0.095%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 04:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 05:35
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 04:35
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 06:55
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 04:20
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 04:10
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 43.73%EV -7.32%E -3.44%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.16%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 16:35
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -3.43%E -0.996%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -8.50%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 09:25
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 09:20
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 09:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:18
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:19
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:19
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:19
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 17:19
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 04:35
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.39%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 07:49
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.13%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -8.50%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 09:20
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 04:09
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 04:10
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 17:19
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 04:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:55
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 16:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 16:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 16:45
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -9.93%E -4.80%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 17:18
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.39%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:35
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-14 13:25
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 16:40
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 06:55
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-14 13:25
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 13:25
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-14 13:24
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-14 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.05%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.18%EV -17.18%E -5.82%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-16 06:55
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -13.85%E -7.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 04:35
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.16%E -7.77%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -16.90%E -8.85%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -15.78%E -5.26%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -20.44%E -7.30%K -11.35%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-16 16:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-05-17 06:50
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.3%2026-05-17 05:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%3.5%2026-05-17 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%3.5%2026-05-17 07:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%4.3%2026-05-17 07:45