La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Huachipato v Union La Calera
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Huachipato (Local)
Predicción 43.51%2.30momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -3.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.80%43.66%43.40%46.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.75%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Union La Calera (Visitante)
Predicción 28.07%3.56momio equitativo
EV -0.337%
Ventaja -0.095%
Kelly -0.132%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.50%27.95%28.28%29.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.253.253.5533.90%30.78%30.77%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.42%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -0.996%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%28.39%28.32%29.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.233.253.4035.71%30.94%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.337%E -0.095%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 04:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 04:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -0.337%E -0.095%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 04:09 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 05:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 04:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 06:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 04:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| GTbets | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.73%EV -7.32%E -3.44%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.16%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -3.43%E -0.996%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -8.50%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 09:25 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:18 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 04:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.39%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 07:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.13%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -8.50%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 04:09 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 04:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 06:55 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 06:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 06:55 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 06:55 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -9.93%E -4.80%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 17:18 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.39%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 06:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 13:24 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.05%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.18%EV -17.18%E -5.82%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-16 06:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -13.85%E -7.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-17 04:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.16%E -7.77%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -16.90%E -8.85%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -15.78%E -5.26%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -20.44%E -7.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.86% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 05:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 07:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 07:45 |