Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato v Audax Italiano

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 00:47 UTC

Final: Huachipato 3–2 Audax Italiano

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato (Local)

Prediction 43.80%2.28fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.80%43.85%43.73%46.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.58%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Audax Italiano (Visit)

Prediction 28.41%3.52fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -0.806%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%28.35%28.45%30.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.4533.33%31.27%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.79%3.60fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.537%
Kelly -0.749%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%27.80%27.81%29.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.243.253.5335.71%30.82%30.77%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Huachipato (Local): 43.80%; Audax Italiano (Visit): 28.41%; Draw: 27.79%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.53, with an expected value of -1.90%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 00:45
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.41%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -3.68%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -5.79%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.31%EV -4.96%E -2.29%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.24%EV -1.90%E -0.537%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 00:44
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 00:45
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -6.28%E -2.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 00:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -6.28%E -2.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 00:45
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.10%EV -5.38%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.77%EV -6.34%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 00:45
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 00:45
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 00:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -7.94%E -2.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -7.18%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 00:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:45
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -1.97%E -0.572%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.73%E -0.780%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 00:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:44
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 00:43
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 00:44
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 00:44
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:45
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.91%E -4.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 00:45
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 00:45
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 00:45
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 00:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 00:44
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 00:44
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 00:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 00:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 00:44
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 00:45
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 00:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 00:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.75%EV -14.16%E -7.23%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.36%EV -14.16%E -7.23%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 00:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -14.60%E -7.49%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 43.51%EV -16.35%E -8.56%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.81%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.68%EV -22.18%E -7.92%K -12.32%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-20 00:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-20 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%2.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%2.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%3.4%2026-04-20 00:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 44.32%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.45%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.23%5.9%2026-04-20 00:45