L’École des cotes

Huachipato v Audax Italiano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-20 00:47 UTC

Score final : Huachipato 3–2 Audax Italiano

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Huachipato (Local)

Prévision 43.80%2.28cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.80%43.85%43.73%46.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.58%47.62%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Audax Italiano (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.41%3.52cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.572%
Kelly -0.806%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.50%28.35%28.45%30.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.203.203.4533.33%31.27%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.79%3.60cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.537%
Kelly -0.749%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.93%27.80%27.81%29.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.243.253.5335.71%30.82%30.77%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:36
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 00:45
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.41%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -3.68%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -5.79%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 00:44
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.31%EV -4.96%E -2.29%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.24%EV -1.90%E -0.537%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 00:44
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 00:45
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:45
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -6.28%E -2.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 00:44
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -6.28%E -2.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 00:45
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.10%EV -5.38%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.77%EV -6.34%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 00:45
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 00:45
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 00:45
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -7.94%E -2.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -7.18%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 00:44
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:45
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -1.97%E -0.572%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.73%E -0.780%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 00:44
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:44
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 00:43
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 00:44
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 00:44
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:45
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.91%E -4.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 00:45
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 00:45
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 00:45
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 00:44
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 00:44
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 00:44
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 00:44
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 00:44
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 00:44
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 00:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 00:45
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 00:45
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.75%EV -14.16%E -7.23%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.36%EV -14.16%E -7.23%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 00:43
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -14.60%E -7.49%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.51%EV -16.35%E -8.56%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.81%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.68%EV -22.18%E -7.92%K -12.32%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-20 00:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-20 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%2.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%2.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%3.4%2026-04-20 00:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 44.32%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.45%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.23%5.9%2026-04-20 00:45