مدرسة الاحتمالات

Huachipato v Audax Italiano

البداية: 2026-04-20 00:47 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Huachipato 3–2 Audax Italiano

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Huachipato (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.80%2.28السعر العادل
EV -2.34%
الأفضلية -1.05%
Kelly -1.90%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.80%43.85%43.73%46.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.58%47.62%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Audax Italiano (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.41%3.52السعر العادل
EV -1.97%
الأفضلية -0.572%
Kelly -0.806%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.50%28.35%28.45%30.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.203.203.4533.33%31.27%31.25%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.79%3.60السعر العادل
EV -1.90%
الأفضلية -0.537%
Kelly -0.749%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.93%27.80%27.81%29.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.243.253.5335.71%30.82%30.77%28.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:36
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 00:45
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.41%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -3.68%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -5.79%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 00:44
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.31%EV -4.96%E -2.29%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.24%EV -1.90%E -0.537%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 00:44
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 00:45
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:45
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -6.28%E -2.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 00:44
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -6.28%E -2.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 00:45
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.10%EV -5.38%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.77%EV -6.34%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 00:45
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 00:45
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 00:45
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -7.94%E -2.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -7.18%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 00:44
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:45
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -1.97%E -0.572%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.73%E -0.780%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 00:44
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:44
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 00:43
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 00:44
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 00:44
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:45
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.91%E -4.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 00:45
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 00:45
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 00:45
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 00:44
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 00:44
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 00:44
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 00:44
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 00:44
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 00:44
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 00:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 00:45
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 00:45
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.75%EV -14.16%E -7.23%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.36%EV -14.16%E -7.23%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 00:43
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -14.60%E -7.49%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.51%EV -16.35%E -8.56%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.81%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.68%EV -22.18%E -7.92%K -12.32%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-20 00:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-20 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%2.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%2.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%3.4%2026-04-20 00:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 44.32%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.45%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.23%5.9%2026-04-20 00:45