La escuela de los momios

Huachipato v Audax Italiano

Inicio: 2026-04-20 00:47 UTC

Final: Huachipato 3–2 Audax Italiano

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Huachipato (Local)

Predicción 43.80%2.28momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.80%43.85%43.73%46.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.58%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Audax Italiano (Visitante)

Predicción 28.41%3.52momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.572%
Kelly -0.806%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.50%28.35%28.45%30.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.203.203.4533.33%31.27%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.79%3.60momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.537%
Kelly -0.749%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.93%27.80%27.81%29.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.243.253.5335.71%30.82%30.77%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:36
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 00:45
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 00:45
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.41%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -3.68%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -5.79%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 00:44
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.31%EV -4.96%E -2.29%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.24%EV -1.90%E -0.537%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 00:44
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 00:45
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:45
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -6.28%E -2.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 00:44
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -6.28%E -2.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.51%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 00:45
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.10%EV -5.38%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.77%EV -6.34%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 00:45
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 00:45
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.90%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 00:45
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -7.94%E -2.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -7.18%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 00:44
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:45
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -1.97%E -0.572%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.73%E -0.780%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 00:44
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 00:44
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 00:43
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 00:44
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 00:44
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:45
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 00:45
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.91%E -4.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 00:45
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 00:45
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 00:45
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 00:44
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 00:44
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 00:44
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 00:44
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 00:44
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.22%E -4.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 00:44
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.68%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 00:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.85%E -4.47%K -6.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 00:45
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 00:45
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.75%EV -14.16%E -7.23%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -11.07%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.36%EV -14.16%E -7.23%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -12.46%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 00:43
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -14.60%E -7.49%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -3.40%E -0.999%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.29%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.51%EV -16.35%E -8.56%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.81%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.68%EV -22.18%E -7.92%K -12.32%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-20 00:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-20 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%2.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%2.6%2026-04-20 00:45
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%3.4%2026-04-20 00:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 44.32%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.45%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.23%5.9%2026-04-20 00:45