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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Colo Colo v Deportes Concepción

开赛时间： 2026-09-13 20:32 UTC

最终结果： Colo Colo 1–1 Deportes Concepción

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

39 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Colo Colo (主队)

预测 65.61%1.52公平赔率
EV -2.24%
优势 -1.51%
Kelly -4.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.49

博彩公司预测分布
63.16%65.49%65.51%66.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.401.401.4975.19%71.61%71.43%67.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

Deportes Concepción (客队)

预测 13.95%7.17公平赔率
EV +0.578%
优势 +0.080%
Kelly +0.093%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 7.21

博彩公司预测分布
13.11%13.94%14.11%15.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.756.516.607.2117.39%15.37%15.15%13.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.44%4.89公平赔率
EV -4.13%
优势 -0.880%
Kelly -1.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.69

博彩公司预测分布
19.63%20.57%20.38%22.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.414.504.6925.00%22.70%22.22%21.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Colo Colo (主队)：65.61%；Deportes Concepción (客队)：13.95%；平局：20.44%。 对于“Deportes Concepción (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.17。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.21，对应+0.578%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (39 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.37%EV -5.52%E -3.84%K -12.55%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.26%EV +0.578%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.38%EV -4.13%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 19:21
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.51%EV -2.24%E -1.51%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.50%EV -0.678%E -0.095%K -0.111%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.99%EV -10.67%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 20:25
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 20:19
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 20:20
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.34%EV -8.80%E -6.33%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 20:21
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.31%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -5.14%E -0.756%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -15.17%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 16:05
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.31%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -5.14%E -0.756%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -15.17%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.49%E -5.31%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 20:20
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 06:34
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.54%EV -12.74%E -9.58%K -38.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.54%EV -12.74%E -9.58%K -38.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -11.43%E -8.47%K -32.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.48%EV -6.54%E -0.976%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 20:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -7.93%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -7.93%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.52%E -3.84%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 04:40
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:49
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 11:05
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -10.77%E -7.92%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.15%EV -12.74%E -9.58%K -38.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.32%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 20:21
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 20:25
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.77%E -7.92%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 20:21
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 20:25
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -10.77%E -7.92%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.01%EV -10.12%E -7.38%K -27.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.86%EV -17.70%E -3.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -15.17%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 20:25
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-09-13 20:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-09-13 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-09-13 20:21
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-09-13 19:10