Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Colo Colo v Deportes Concepción

Início: 2026-09-13 20:32 UTC

Final: Colo Colo 1–1 Deportes Concepción

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Colo Colo (Local)

Previsão 65.61%1.52odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -1.51%
Kelly -4.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.16%65.49%65.51%66.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.401.401.4975.19%71.61%71.43%67.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Deportes Concepción (Visitante)

Previsão 13.95%7.17odd justa
EV +0.578%
Vantagem +0.080%
Kelly +0.093%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.11%13.94%14.11%15.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.756.516.607.2117.39%15.37%15.15%13.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.44%4.89odd justa
EV -4.13%
Vantagem -0.880%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.63%20.57%20.38%22.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.414.504.6925.00%22.70%22.22%21.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Colo Colo (Local): 65.61%; Deportes Concepción (Visitante): 13.95%; Empate: 20.44%. Para Deportes Concepción (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.17. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.21, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.578%.

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.37%EV -5.52%E -3.84%K -12.55%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.26%EV +0.578%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.38%EV -4.13%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 19:21
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.51%EV -2.24%E -1.51%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.50%EV -0.678%E -0.095%K -0.111%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.99%EV -10.67%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 20:25
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 20:19
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 20:20
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.34%EV -8.80%E -6.33%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 20:21
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.31%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -5.14%E -0.756%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -15.17%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 16:05
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.31%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -5.14%E -0.756%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -15.17%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.49%E -5.31%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 20:20
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 06:34
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.54%EV -12.74%E -9.58%K -38.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.54%EV -12.74%E -9.58%K -38.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -11.43%E -8.47%K -32.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.48%EV -6.54%E -0.976%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 20:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -7.93%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -7.93%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.52%E -3.84%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 04:40
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:49
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 11:05
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -10.77%E -7.92%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.15%EV -12.74%E -9.58%K -38.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.32%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 20:21
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 20:25
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.77%E -7.92%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 20:21
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 20:25
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -10.77%E -7.92%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.01%EV -10.12%E -7.38%K -27.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.86%EV -17.70%E -3.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -15.17%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 20:25
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-09-13 20:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-09-13 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-09-13 20:21
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-09-13 19:10