Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Colo Colo v Deportes Concepción

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 20:32 UTC

Score final : Colo Colo 1–1 Deportes Concepción

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Colo Colo (Local)

Prévision 65.61%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -4.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.16%65.49%65.51%66.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.331.401.401.4975.19%71.61%71.43%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Deportes Concepción (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.95%7.17cote équitable
EV +0.578%
Avantage +0.080%
Kelly +0.093%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 7.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.11%13.94%14.11%15.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.756.516.607.2117.39%15.37%15.15%13.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.44%4.89cote équitable
EV -4.13%
Avantage -0.880%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.63%20.57%20.38%22.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.414.504.6925.00%22.70%22.22%21.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Colo Colo (Local) : 65.61% ; Deportes Concepción (Visiteur) : 13.95% ; Match nul : 20.44%. Pour Deportes Concepción (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.17. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.21, soit une espérance positive de +0.578%.

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.37%EV -5.52%E -3.84%K -12.55%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.26%EV +0.578%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.38%EV -4.13%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 19:21
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.51%EV -2.24%E -1.51%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.50%EV -0.678%E -0.095%K -0.111%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.99%EV -10.67%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 20:25
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 20:19
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 20:20
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.34%EV -8.80%E -6.33%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 20:21
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.31%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -5.14%E -0.756%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -15.17%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 16:05
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.31%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -5.14%E -0.756%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -15.17%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.49%E -5.31%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 20:20
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 06:34
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.54%EV -12.74%E -9.58%K -38.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.54%EV -12.74%E -9.58%K -38.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -11.43%E -8.47%K -32.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.48%EV -6.54%E -0.976%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 20:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -7.93%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -7.93%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.52%E -3.84%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 04:40
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:49
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 11:05
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -10.77%E -7.92%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.15%EV -12.74%E -9.58%K -38.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.32%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 20:21
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 20:25
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.77%E -7.92%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 20:21
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 20:25
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -10.77%E -7.92%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.01%EV -10.12%E -7.38%K -27.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.86%EV -17.70%E -3.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -15.17%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 20:25
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-09-13 20:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-09-13 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-09-13 20:21
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-09-13 19:10