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Colo Colo v Deportes Concepción
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Colo Colo (Local)
Predicción 65.61%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -4.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.16%65.49%65.51%66.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.401.401.4975.19%71.61%71.43%67.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Deportes Concepción (Visitante)
Predicción 13.95%7.17momio equitativo
EV +0.578%
Ventaja +0.080%
Kelly +0.093%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.11%13.94%14.11%15.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.756.516.607.2117.39%15.37%15.15%13.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.44%4.89momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.63%20.57%20.38%22.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.414.504.6925.00%22.70%22.22%21.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Colo Colo (Local): 65.61%; Deportes Concepción (Visitante): 13.95%; Empate: 20.44%. Para Deportes Concepción (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.17. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.21, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.578%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.37%EV -5.52%E -3.84%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 7.21I 13.87%NM 13.26%EV +0.578%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.38%EV -4.13%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 19:21 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.51%EV -2.24%E -1.51%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.50%EV -0.678%E -0.095%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.99%EV -10.67%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 20:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.34%EV -8.80%E -6.33%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.35%E -0.336%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 20:21 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.31%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -5.14%E -0.756%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -15.17%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.31%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -5.14%E -0.756%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -15.17%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.49%E -5.31%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 06:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -9.46%E -6.86%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.54%EV -12.74%E -9.58%K -38.61%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.54%EV -12.74%E -9.58%K -38.61%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -5.84%E -0.865%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -11.43%E -8.47%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.48%EV -6.54%E -0.976%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 20:21 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -7.93%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -7.93%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.52%E -3.84%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 04:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 17:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.01%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -10.77%E -7.92%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.15%EV -12.74%E -9.58%K -38.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -9.33%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.32%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-13 20:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -6.84%E -4.81%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 20:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.77%E -7.92%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -12.81%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.14%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-13 20:21 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-13 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-13 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.23%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-13 20:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -10.77%E -7.92%K -29.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -16.30%E -2.72%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-13 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.01%EV -10.12%E -7.38%K -27.34%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.86%EV -17.70%E -3.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -15.17%E -3.65%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 20:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 04:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -19.79%E -3.44%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 04:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49% | 1.7% | 2026-09-13 20:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49% | 1.7% | 2026-09-13 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49% | 1.7% | 2026-09-13 20:21 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 19:10 |