Language:English
Cobresal v La Serena
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cobresal (Local)
Prediction 36.52%2.74fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.40%36.64%36.45%40.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.482.502.6644.05%40.34%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
La Serena (Visit)
Prediction 34.42%2.91fair odd
EV +6.35%
Edge +2.05%
Kelly +3.04%
Growth +0.193%
assuming max odds 3.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.52%34.26%34.44%35.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.692.683.0941.67%37.13%37.31%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%29.09%29.11%30.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.133.133.3035.09%31.94%31.90%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cobresal (Local): 36.52%; La Serena (Visit): 34.42%; Draw: 29.06%. For La Serena (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.47%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.52%EV +6.35%E +2.05%K +3.04%G +0.193% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.60%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%EV +3.25%E +1.08%K +1.62%G +0.053% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 20:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:43 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -0.881%E -0.306%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -1.91%E -0.671%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -15.28%E -6.58%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -1.91%E -0.671%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.35%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-27 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.38%EV -5.83%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 20:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.38%EV -5.83%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 20:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.24%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.55%EV -3.98%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 20:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.38%EV -10.16%E -4.13%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -5.35%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.35%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 20:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -5.35%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.35%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.30%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -6.39%E -2.35%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -9.32%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.03%EV -6.15%E -2.39%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -9.32%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 20:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -14.18%E -6.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -5.78%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -7.76%E -2.90%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -5.78%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -7.76%E -2.90%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.22%E -1.22%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 20:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 20:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.34%EV -17.10%E -7.53%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.84%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 28.82%EV -12.22%E -4.05%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.83%E -3.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-27 20:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 20:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 20:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.16%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.66%EV -17.40%E -7.25%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.18%EV -17.17%E -6.02%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.17% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.89% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.93% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |