La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cobresal v La Serena
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cobresal (Local)
Predicción 36.52%2.74momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.40%36.64%36.45%40.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.482.502.6644.05%40.34%40.00%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
La Serena (Visitante)
Predicción 34.42%2.91momio equitativo
EV +6.35%
Ventaja +2.05%
Kelly +3.04%
Crecimiento +0.193%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.52%34.26%34.44%35.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.692.683.0941.67%37.13%37.31%32.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.06%3.44momio equitativo
EV -4.09%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.19%29.09%29.11%30.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.133.133.3035.09%31.94%31.90%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.47%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.52%EV +6.35%E +2.05%K +3.04%G +0.193% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.60%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%EV +3.25%E +1.08%K +1.62%G +0.053% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 20:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:43 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -0.881%E -0.306%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -1.91%E -0.671%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 20:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -15.28%E -6.58%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -1.91%E -0.671%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.35%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-27 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.38%EV -5.83%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 20:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.38%EV -5.83%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 20:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.24%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.55%EV -3.98%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 20:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.38%EV -10.16%E -4.13%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -5.35%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.35%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 20:46 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -5.35%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.35%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.30%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -6.39%E -2.35%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -9.32%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.03%EV -6.15%E -2.39%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -9.32%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 20:53 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -14.18%E -6.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 20:39 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -5.78%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -7.76%E -2.90%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -5.78%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -7.76%E -2.90%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.22%E -1.22%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 20:53 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 20:53 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.34%EV -17.10%E -7.53%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.84%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 28.82%EV -12.22%E -4.05%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.83%E -3.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-27 20:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-27 20:35 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 20:35 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 20:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.16%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.66%EV -17.40%E -7.25%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.18%EV -17.17%E -6.02%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.17% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.89% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.93% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 20:54 |