مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cobresal v La Serena

البداية: 2026-02-27 21:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cobresal (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.52%2.74السعر العادل
EV -2.86%
الأفضلية -1.08%
Kelly -1.72%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.40%36.64%36.45%40.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.272.482.502.6644.05%40.34%40.00%37.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

La Serena (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.42%2.91السعر العادل
EV +6.35%
الأفضلية +2.05%
Kelly +3.04%
النمو +0.193%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.52%34.26%34.44%35.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.692.683.0941.67%37.13%37.31%32.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.06%3.44السعر العادل
EV -4.09%
الأفضلية -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.19%29.09%29.11%30.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.133.133.3035.09%31.94%31.90%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 40.47%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.52%EV +6.35%E +2.05%K +3.04%G +0.193%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 20:44
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.60%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%EV +3.25%E +1.08%K +1.62%G +0.053%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 20:35
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:44
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:43
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:44
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:44
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -0.192%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:44
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -0.881%E -0.306%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 20:44
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -1.91%E -0.671%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 20:35
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -15.28%E -6.58%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -1.91%E -0.671%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.35%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 20:45
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.38%EV -5.83%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 20:49
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.38%EV -5.83%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 20:49
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.63%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 20:39
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.24%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.55%EV -3.98%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 20:50
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.38%EV -10.16%E -4.13%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -5.35%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 20:39
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.35%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 20:46
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -5.35%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.35%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 20:34
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.30%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -6.39%E -2.35%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -9.32%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 20:54
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 20:54
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.03%EV -6.15%E -2.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -9.32%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 20:53
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 20:54
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -14.18%E -6.03%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 20:39
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -5.78%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -7.76%E -2.90%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 20:54
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -5.78%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -7.76%E -2.90%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 20:54
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.22%E -1.22%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 20:53
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 20:53
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 20:34
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 20:29
Unibet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.34%EV -17.10%E -7.53%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.84%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 28.82%EV -12.22%E -4.05%K -6.05%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-27 20:54
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.83%E -3.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 20:54
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 20:34
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 20:44
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-27 20:54
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 20:54
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 20:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-27 20:35
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 20:54
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 20:54
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 20:54
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 20:54
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 20:35
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 20:35
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-27 20:54
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-27 20:54
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.16%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.66%EV -17.40%E -7.25%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.18%EV -17.17%E -6.02%K -9.28%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-27 20:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%1.4%2026-02-27 20:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%1.4%2026-02-27 20:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.17%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.89%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-02-27 20:54
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 35.93%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%3.8%2026-02-27 20:54