Language:English
Audax Italiano v Cobresal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Audax Italiano (Local)
Prediction 53.75%1.86fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.77%53.73%53.63%56.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.721.721.8162.11%58.26%58.14%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cobresal (Visit)
Prediction 21.65%4.62fair odd
EV +2.83%
Edge +0.595%
Kelly +0.754%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.14%21.63%21.77%22.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.204.204.7526.67%23.81%23.81%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.60%4.06fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.363%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.38%24.65%24.60%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.673.654.0232.26%27.25%27.40%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Audax Italiano (Local): 53.75%; Cobresal (Visit): 21.65%; Draw: 24.60%. For Cobresal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.01%EV -8.09%E -4.73%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.16%EV +2.83%E +0.595%K +0.754%G +0.021% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.83%EV -1.10%E -0.273%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.93%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.56%EV +0.661%E +0.142%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.51%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.14%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.81%EV -0.205%E -0.044%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.05%EV -1.83%E -0.460%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15%EV -9.70%E -5.77%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -0.421%E -0.092%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -2.59%E -0.575%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.67%E -0.824%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.67%E -0.824%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.24%E -6.13%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.27%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.28%EV -5.94%E -3.39%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.58%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.13%EV -8.72%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -5.94%E -3.39%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -5.94%E -3.39%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -9.70%E -5.77%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -2.71%E -1.50%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 16:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -5.40%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-23 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.06%EV -13.46%E -8.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.76%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.78%E -6.49%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -16.66%E -4.33%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.16%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -18.82%E -5.02%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.74%EV -23.73%E -7.66%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.98% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.02% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.00% | -0.1% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10% | 3.7% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |