مدرسة الاحتمالات

Audax Italiano v Cobresal

البداية: 2026-05-23 16:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Audax Italiano 2–1 Cobresal

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Audax Italiano (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.75%1.86السعر العادل
EV -2.71%
الأفضلية -1.50%
Kelly -3.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.77%53.73%53.63%56.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.611.721.721.8162.11%58.26%58.14%55.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cobresal (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.65%4.62السعر العادل
EV +2.83%
الأفضلية +0.595%
Kelly +0.754%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.14%21.63%21.77%22.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.204.204.7526.67%23.81%23.81%21.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.60%4.06السعر العادل
EV -1.10%
الأفضلية -0.273%
Kelly -0.363%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.38%24.65%24.60%26.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.673.654.0232.26%27.25%27.40%24.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.01%EV -8.09%E -4.73%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.16%EV +2.83%E +0.595%K +0.754%G +0.021%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.83%EV -1.10%E -0.273%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 16:29
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.93%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.56%EV +0.661%E +0.142%K +0.181%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.51%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 16:29
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.14%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.81%EV -0.205%E -0.044%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.05%EV -1.83%E -0.460%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 16:29
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15%EV -9.70%E -5.77%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -0.421%E -0.092%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 16:29
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -2.59%E -0.575%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 16:29
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.67%E -0.824%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.67%E -0.824%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 16:29
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.24%E -6.13%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 16:29
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 16:29
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.27%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 16:29
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.28%EV -5.94%E -3.39%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.58%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.13%EV -8.72%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 16:29
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -5.94%E -3.39%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 16:29
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -5.94%E -3.39%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 16:29
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 16:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 16:29
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 16:29
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 16:29
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 16:29
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 16:29
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -9.70%E -5.77%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 16:29
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 16:29
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 16:29
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 16:29
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 16:29
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 16:29
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 16:29
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 16:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 16:29
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 16:29
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 16:29
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -2.71%E -1.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 16:25
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -5.40%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 16:29
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 16:29
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 16:29
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 16:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-23 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.06%EV -13.46%E -8.36%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.76%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-23 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.78%E -6.49%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -16.66%E -4.33%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.16%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -18.82%E -5.02%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.74%EV -23.73%E -7.66%K -11.30%G +0.000%20.7%2026-05-23 16:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.98%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.00%-0.1%2026-05-23 16:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-05-23 16:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-05-23 16:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-05-23 16:29
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-05-23 16:29