La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Audax Italiano v Cobresal
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Audax Italiano (Local)
Predicción 53.75%1.86momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -3.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.77%53.73%53.63%56.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.721.721.8162.11%58.26%58.14%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cobresal (Visitante)
Predicción 21.65%4.62momio equitativo
EV +2.83%
Ventaja +0.595%
Kelly +0.754%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.14%21.63%21.77%22.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.204.204.7526.67%23.81%23.81%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.60%4.06momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.273%
Kelly -0.363%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.38%24.65%24.60%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.673.654.0232.26%27.25%27.40%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.01%EV -8.09%E -4.73%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.16%EV +2.83%E +0.595%K +0.754%G +0.021% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.83%EV -1.10%E -0.273%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.93%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.56%EV +0.661%E +0.142%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.51%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.14%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.81%EV -0.205%E -0.044%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.05%EV -1.83%E -0.460%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15%EV -9.70%E -5.77%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -0.421%E -0.092%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -2.59%E -0.575%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.67%E -0.824%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.67%E -0.824%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Everygame | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.24%E -6.13%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.27%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.28%EV -5.94%E -3.39%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.58%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.13%EV -8.72%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -5.94%E -3.39%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -5.94%E -3.39%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -9.70%E -5.77%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -2.71%E -1.50%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 16:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -5.40%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-23 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.06%EV -13.46%E -8.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.76%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.78%E -6.49%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -16.66%E -4.33%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.16%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -18.82%E -5.02%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.74%EV -23.73%E -7.66%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.98% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.02% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.00% | -0.1% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |
| Smarkets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10% | 3.7% | 2026-05-23 16:29 |