L’École des cotes

Audax Italiano v Cobresal

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 16:32 UTC

Score final : Audax Italiano 2–1 Cobresal

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Audax Italiano (Local)

Prévision 53.75%1.86cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -3.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.77%53.73%53.63%56.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.721.721.8162.11%58.26%58.14%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cobresal (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.65%4.62cote équitable
EV +2.83%
Avantage +0.595%
Kelly +0.754%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.14%21.63%21.77%22.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.204.204.7526.67%23.81%23.81%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.60%4.06cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.273%
Kelly -0.363%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.38%24.65%24.60%26.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.673.654.0232.26%27.25%27.40%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.01%EV -8.09%E -4.73%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.16%EV +2.83%E +0.595%K +0.754%G +0.021%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.83%EV -1.10%E -0.273%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 16:29
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.93%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.56%EV +0.661%E +0.142%K +0.181%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.51%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 16:29
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.14%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.81%EV -0.205%E -0.044%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.05%EV -1.83%E -0.460%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 16:29
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15%EV -9.70%E -5.77%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -0.421%E -0.092%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 16:29
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -2.59%E -0.575%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 16:29
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.67%E -0.824%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.67%E -0.824%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 16:29
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.24%E -6.13%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 16:29
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 16:29
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.27%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 16:29
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.28%EV -5.94%E -3.39%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.58%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.13%EV -8.72%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 16:29
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -5.94%E -3.39%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 16:29
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -5.94%E -3.39%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 16:29
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.92%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 16:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 16:29
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 16:29
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 16:29
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 16:29
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 16:29
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -9.70%E -5.77%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 16:29
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -6.48%E -3.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 16:29
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 16:29
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 16:29
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 16:29
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 16:29
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 16:29
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -7.01%E -4.05%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 16:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -4.86%E -2.75%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 16:29
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 16:29
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -7.55%E -4.39%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 16:29
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -2.71%E -1.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 16:25
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.02%EV -5.40%E -3.07%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 16:29
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 16:29
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 16:29
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 16:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-23 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.06%EV -13.46%E -8.36%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.76%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.43%E -3.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-23 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.78%E -6.49%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -16.66%E -4.33%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-23 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.16%EV -12.93%E -7.98%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -18.82%E -5.02%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.74%EV -23.73%E -7.66%K -11.30%G +0.000%20.7%2026-05-23 16:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.98%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.00%-0.1%2026-05-23 16:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-05-23 16:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-05-23 16:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.28%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-05-23 16:29
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-05-23 16:29