赔率学院

Vila Nova v Nautico PE

开赛时间: 2026-06-20 22:02 UTC

最终结果: Vila Nova 4–3 Nautico PE

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Vila Nova (主队)

预测 40.19%2.49公平赔率
EV -3.55%
优势 -1.48%
Kelly -2.54%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
38.96%40.11%40.30%41.12%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.102.282.302.4047.62%43.89%43.48%41.67%MIN均值中位数MAX

Nautico PE (客队)

预测 28.91%3.46公平赔率
EV +0.301%
优势 +0.087%
Kelly +0.122%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.47

博彩公司预测分布
27.26%29.05%28.81%31.13%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.123.103.4734.72%32.02%32.26%28.82%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 30.91%3.24公平赔率
EV -1.09%
优势 -0.341%
Kelly -0.496%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.21%30.84%30.89%32.50%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.603.013.003.2038.46%33.26%33.33%31.25%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.73%EV +0.301%E +0.087%K +0.122%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -7.58%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 21:59
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-20 21:59
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -8.51%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 22:00
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -8.51%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 21:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 21:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.58%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 22:00
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.58%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 21:59
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 39.63%EV -6.37%E -2.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -11.91%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 21:59
BetUS2.31I 43.29%NM 39.83%EV -7.17%E -3.10%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -11.91%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-20 21:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.59%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-20 21:59
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -6.77%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -6.35%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -9.13%E -3.10%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 22:00
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.38%E -3.67%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-20 21:59
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.38%E -3.67%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-20 21:59
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.55%EV -8.78%E -3.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-20 21:59
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -2.64%E -0.837%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 21:58
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:58
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-20 21:59
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-20 21:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-20 21:59
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-20 21:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.60%E -6.33%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-20 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.24%EV -15.61%E -7.43%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.26%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.50%EV -19.64%E -7.55%K -12.27%G +0.000%18.3%2026-06-20 21:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-20 21:59
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.58%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-20 21:45
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-20 22:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -10.39%E -4.66%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-20 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.59%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-20 21:59
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -11.59%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-20 21:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-20 21:59
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-20 21:59
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-20 21:59
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-20 22:00
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -16.75%E -5.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-20 21:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.8%2026-06-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.8%2026-06-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%1.4%2026-06-20 22:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%1.6%2026-06-20 22:00
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.1%2026-06-20 22:00