StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Vila Nova v Nautico PE

Matchstart: 2026-06-20 22:02 UTC

Slutresultat: Vila Nova 4–3 Nautico PE

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Vila Nova (Hemma)

Prognos 40.19%2.49rättvist odds
EV -3.55%
Fördel -1.48%
Kelly -2.54%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.96%40.11%40.30%41.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.282.302.4047.62%43.89%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Nautico PE (Borta)

Prognos 28.91%3.46rättvist odds
EV +0.301%
Fördel +0.087%
Kelly +0.122%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.47

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.26%29.05%28.81%31.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.123.103.4734.72%32.02%32.26%28.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.91%3.24rättvist odds
EV -1.09%
Fördel -0.341%
Kelly -0.496%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.21%30.84%30.89%32.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.603.013.003.2038.46%33.26%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Vila Nova (Hemma): 40.19%; Nautico PE (Borta): 28.91%; Oavgjort: 30.91%. För Nautico PE (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.46. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.47, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.301%.

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.73%EV +0.301%E +0.087%K +0.122%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -7.58%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 21:59
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-20 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -8.51%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -8.51%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 21:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 21:59
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.58%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 22:00
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.58%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 21:59
Bovada🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.63%EV -6.37%E -2.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -11.91%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 21:59
BetUS🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.83%EV -7.17%E -3.10%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -11.91%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-20 21:59
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.59%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-20 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -6.77%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -6.35%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -9.13%E -3.10%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 22:00
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.38%E -3.67%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-20 21:59
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.38%E -3.67%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-20 21:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.55%EV -8.78%E -3.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-20 21:59
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -2.64%E -0.837%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 21:58
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:58
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-20 21:59
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-20 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-20 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-20 21:59
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.60%E -6.33%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-20 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.24%EV -15.61%E -7.43%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.26%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.50%EV -19.64%E -7.55%K -12.27%G +0.000%18.3%2026-06-20 21:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-20 21:59
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.58%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-20 21:45
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-20 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -10.39%E -4.66%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-20 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.59%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-20 21:59
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -11.59%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-20 21:59
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-20 21:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-20 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-20 21:59
LeoVegas🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-20 22:00
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -16.75%E -5.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-20 21:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.8%2026-06-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.8%2026-06-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%1.4%2026-06-20 22:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%1.6%2026-06-20 22:00
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.1%2026-06-20 22:00