Szkoła Kursów

Vila Nova v Nautico PE

Początek: 2026-06-20 22:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Vila Nova 4–3 Nautico PE

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

40 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Vila Nova (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 40.19%2.49kurs godziwy
EV -3.55%
Przewaga -1.48%
Kelly -2.54%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.96%40.11%40.30%41.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.282.302.4047.62%43.89%43.48%41.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Nautico PE (Goście)

Prognoza 28.91%3.46kurs godziwy
EV +0.301%
Przewaga +0.087%
Kelly +0.122%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.47

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.26%29.05%28.81%31.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.123.103.4734.72%32.02%32.26%28.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 30.91%3.24kurs godziwy
EV -1.09%
Przewaga -0.341%
Kelly -0.496%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.21%30.84%30.89%32.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.603.013.003.2038.46%33.26%33.33%31.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (40 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.73%EV +0.301%E +0.087%K +0.122%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -7.58%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 21:59
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-20 21:59
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -8.51%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 22:00
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -8.51%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 21:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 21:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.58%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 22:00
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.58%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 21:59
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 39.63%EV -6.37%E -2.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -11.91%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 21:59
BetUS2.31I 43.29%NM 39.83%EV -7.17%E -3.10%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -11.91%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-20 21:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.59%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-20 21:59
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -6.77%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -6.35%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -9.13%E -3.10%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 22:00
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.38%E -3.67%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-20 21:59
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.38%E -3.67%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-20 21:59
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.55%EV -8.78%E -3.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-20 21:59
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -2.64%E -0.837%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 21:58
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:59
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:58
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-20 21:59
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-20 21:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-20 21:59
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-20 21:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.60%E -6.33%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-20 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.24%EV -15.61%E -7.43%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.26%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.50%EV -19.64%E -7.55%K -12.27%G +0.000%18.3%2026-06-20 21:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-20 21:59
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.58%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-20 21:45
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-20 22:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -10.39%E -4.66%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-20 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.59%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-20 21:59
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -11.59%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-20 21:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-20 21:59
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-20 21:59
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-20 21:59
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-20 22:00
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -16.75%E -5.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-20 21:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.8%2026-06-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.8%2026-06-20 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%1.4%2026-06-20 22:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%1.6%2026-06-20 22:00
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.1%2026-06-20 22:00