La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Vila Nova v Nautico PE
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vila Nova (Local)
Predicción 40.19%2.49momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -2.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.96%40.11%40.30%41.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.302.4047.62%43.89%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nautico PE (Visitante)
Predicción 28.91%3.46momio equitativo
EV +0.301%
Ventaja +0.087%
Kelly +0.122%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.26%29.05%28.81%31.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.123.103.4734.72%32.02%32.26%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.91%3.24momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.341%
Kelly -0.496%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.21%30.84%30.89%32.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.603.013.003.2038.46%33.26%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -3.55%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.73%EV +0.301%E +0.087%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -7.58%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -8.51%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -8.51%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.58%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.58%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Bovada | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.63%EV -6.37%E -2.73%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -11.91%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| BetUS | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.83%EV -7.17%E -3.10%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -11.91%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.59%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -6.77%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -6.35%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -9.13%E -3.10%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.38%E -3.67%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -8.38%E -3.67%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.55%EV -8.78%E -3.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -2.64%E -0.837%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-20 21:58 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:58 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.60%E -6.33%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.24%EV -15.61%E -7.43%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.26%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.50%EV -19.64%E -7.55%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.58%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-20 21:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -10.39%E -4.66%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.59%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -11.59%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.17%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -7.57%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -16.75%E -5.82%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-20 21:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 0.8% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 0.8% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23% | 1.6% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.12% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08% | 2.1% | 2026-06-20 22:00 |