Language:English
Vila Nova v Goiás
Head to Head
Vila Nova (Local)
Prediction 42.16%2.37fair odd
EV -7.24%
Edge -3.29%
Kelly -6.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.02%42.16%42.16%42.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.162.202.2048.08%46.33%45.45%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goiás (Visit)
Prediction 28.46%3.51fair odd
EV -6.08%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%28.46%28.46%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.223.303.3032.26%31.03%30.30%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.38%3.40fair odd
EV -7.46%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.35%29.38%29.38%29.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.083.153.1533.90%32.42%31.75%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vila Nova (Local): 42.16%; Goiás (Visit): 28.46%; Draw: 29.38%. For Goiás (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.30, with an expected value of -6.08%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 04:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 04:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 04:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 04:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 04:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 04:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 04:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -8.93%E -4.13%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 04:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -10.62%E -5.01%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 04:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.02%EV -10.62%E -5.01%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 04:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-04 04:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.09%EV -12.30%E -5.91%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.24%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -13.34%E -4.52%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-04 04:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.09%EV -12.30%E -5.91%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.24%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -13.34%E -4.52%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-04 04:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.