Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vila Nova v Goiás

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-10 22:30 UTC

Score final : Vila Nova 2–0 Goiás

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vila Nova (Local)

Prévision 46.11%2.17cote équitable
EV -5.93%
Avantage -2.91%
Kelly -5.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.40%46.19%46.11%48.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.992.002.0454.64%50.29%50.00%49.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Goiás (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.83%4.20cote équitable
EV +0.098%
Avantage +0.023%
Kelly +0.031%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.30%23.76%23.79%25.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.783.804.2028.99%26.44%26.32%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.05%3.33cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.11%30.05%30.10%31.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.053.053.2034.48%32.75%32.79%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vila Nova (Local) : 46.11% ; Goiás (Visiteur) : 23.83% ; Match nul : 30.05%. Pour Goiás (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.196. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.200, soit une espérance positive de +0.098%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -15.61%E -8.53%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV +0.098%E +0.023%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 11:25
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.82%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.96%EV -1.81%E -0.439%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.22%EV -5.93%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 16:00
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 15:50
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:40
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -8.70%E -4.39%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 15:53
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -8.70%E -4.39%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 15:54
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.32%EV -7.31%E -3.64%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.45%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.23%EV -7.43%E -2.41%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.54%EV -8.24%E -4.14%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -5.62%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -7.43%E -2.41%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:30
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.74%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 12:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 12:15
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 15:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 13:25
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 15:50
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 15:50
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 16:35
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 16:33
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 14:29
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 14:29
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 06:04
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 06:04
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -11.93%E -6.24%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 12:30
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 14:30
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:54
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:54
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:52
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 22:45
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -8.70%E -4.39%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 15:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%EV -8.70%E -4.39%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -13.01%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.97%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-07 16:39
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 15:29
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56%EV -9.62%E -4.91%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -15.39%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 09:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 09:54
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.43%EV -10.54%E -5.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 09:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.40%EV -11.00%E -5.70%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -17.78%E -5.15%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 09:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.40%EV -11.00%E -5.70%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -17.78%E -5.15%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 09:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-09-09 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-09-09 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.86%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96%2.6%2026-09-09 17:15
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%5.0%2026-09-09 13:50