Idioma:Español
Vila Nova v Goiás
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vila Nova (Local)
Predicción 46.11%2.17momio equitativo
EV -5.93%
Ventaja -2.91%
Kelly -5.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.40%46.19%46.11%48.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.992.002.0454.64%50.29%50.00%49.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Goiás (Visitante)
Predicción 23.83%4.20momio equitativo
EV +0.098%
Ventaja +0.023%
Kelly +0.031%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.30%23.76%23.79%25.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.783.804.2028.99%26.44%26.32%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.05%3.33momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.11%30.05%30.10%31.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.053.053.2034.48%32.75%32.79%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Vila Nova (Local): 46.11%; Goiás (Visitante): 23.83%; Empate: 30.05%. Para Goiás (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.196. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.200, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.098%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -15.61%E -8.53%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV +0.098%E +0.023%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.82%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.96%EV -1.81%E -0.439%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.22%EV -5.93%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -8.70%E -4.39%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 15:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -8.70%E -4.39%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 15:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.32%EV -7.31%E -3.64%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.45%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.23%EV -7.43%E -2.41%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.54%EV -8.24%E -4.14%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -5.62%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -7.43%E -2.41%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.74%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 22:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 16:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 14:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 14:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-07 06:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-07 06:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -11.93%E -6.24%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 09:52 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -8.70%E -4.39%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 15:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%EV -8.70%E -4.39%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -13.01%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.97%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-07 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 15:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56%EV -9.62%E -4.91%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -15.39%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.43%EV -10.54%E -5.43%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.40%EV -11.00%E -5.70%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -17.78%E -5.15%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.40%EV -11.00%E -5.70%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -17.78%E -5.15%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.86% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 13:50 |