Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vila Nova v Goiás

Início: 2026-09-10 22:30 UTC

Final: Vila Nova 2–0 Goiás

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vila Nova (Local)

Previsão 46.11%2.17odd justa
EV -5.93%
Vantagem -2.91%
Kelly -5.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.40%46.19%46.11%48.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.992.002.0454.64%50.29%50.00%49.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Goiás (Visitante)

Previsão 23.83%4.20odd justa
EV +0.098%
Vantagem +0.023%
Kelly +0.031%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.30%23.76%23.79%25.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.783.804.2028.99%26.44%26.32%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.05%3.33odd justa
EV -3.82%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -1.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.11%30.05%30.10%31.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.053.053.2034.48%32.75%32.79%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Vila Nova (Local): 46.11%; Goiás (Visitante): 23.83%; Empate: 30.05%. Para Goiás (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.196. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.200, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.098%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -15.61%E -8.53%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV +0.098%E +0.023%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 11:25
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.82%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.96%EV -1.81%E -0.439%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.22%EV -5.93%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 16:00
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 15:50
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:40
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -8.70%E -4.39%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 15:53
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -8.70%E -4.39%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 15:54
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.32%EV -7.31%E -3.64%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.45%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.23%EV -7.43%E -2.41%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.54%EV -8.24%E -4.14%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -5.62%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -7.43%E -2.41%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:30
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.74%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 12:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 12:15
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 15:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 13:25
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 15:50
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 15:50
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 16:35
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 16:33
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 14:29
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 14:29
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 06:04
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 06:04
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -11.93%E -6.24%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -12.84%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 12:30
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 14:30
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:54
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:54
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 09:52
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 22:45
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -8.70%E -4.39%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 15:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%EV -8.70%E -4.39%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -13.01%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.97%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-07 16:39
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 15:29
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56%EV -9.62%E -4.91%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -15.39%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 09:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 09:54
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.43%EV -10.54%E -5.43%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 09:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.40%EV -11.00%E -5.70%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -17.78%E -5.15%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 09:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.40%EV -11.00%E -5.70%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -17.78%E -5.15%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 09:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-09-09 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-09-09 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.86%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96%2.6%2026-09-09 17:15
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%5.0%2026-09-09 13:50