Language:English
Vila Nova v Clube de Regatas Brasil
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vila Nova (Local)
Prediction 36.14%2.77fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.04%36.08%36.18%37.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.522.522.6541.67%39.65%39.68%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)
Prediction 33.87%2.95fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.611%
Kelly -0.932%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.23%33.91%33.91%35.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.752.9040.00%36.65%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.99%3.33fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.30%30.01%29.91%32.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.073.053.2235.71%32.61%32.79%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vila Nova (Local): 36.14%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 33.87%; Draw: 29.99%. For Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -1.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.33%EV -4.23%E -1.60%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.78%EV -3.47%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.90%EV -3.44%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.23%E -1.60%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -13.63%E -5.34%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -11.54%E -3.91%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -4.95%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -1.77%E -0.611%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -6.04%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.04%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.04%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.93%EV -6.76%E -2.62%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.58%EV -6.51%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -8.84%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.76%E -2.62%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.76%E -2.62%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 19:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -10.24%E -3.86%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.05%EV -8.93%E -3.54%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.16%EV -9.90%E -3.72%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.05%EV -8.93%E -3.54%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.16%EV -9.90%E -3.72%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.87%EV -9.29%E -3.70%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 19:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.87%EV -9.29%E -3.70%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.26%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.26%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 19:52 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.37%E -4.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.37%E -4.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.26%E -5.53%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -13.26%E -5.53%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -15.32%E -6.13%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -16.03%E -5.73%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |