La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vila Nova v Clube de Regatas Brasil
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vila Nova (Local)
Predicción 36.14%2.77momio equitativo
EV -4.23%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.04%36.08%36.18%37.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.522.522.6541.67%39.65%39.68%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante)
Predicción 33.87%2.95momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.611%
Kelly -0.932%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.23%33.91%33.91%35.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.732.752.9040.00%36.65%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.99%3.33momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.30%30.01%29.91%32.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.053.2235.71%32.61%32.79%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.33%EV -4.23%E -1.60%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.78%EV -3.47%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.90%EV -3.44%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.23%E -1.60%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -13.63%E -5.34%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -11.54%E -3.91%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -4.95%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -1.77%E -0.611%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -6.04%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.04%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.04%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.93%EV -6.76%E -2.62%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.58%EV -6.51%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -8.84%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.76%E -2.62%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.76%E -2.62%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 19:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -10.24%E -3.86%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.05%EV -8.93%E -3.54%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.16%EV -9.90%E -3.72%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.05%EV -8.93%E -3.54%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.16%EV -9.90%E -3.72%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Bovada | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.87%EV -9.29%E -3.70%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 19:53 |
| BetUS | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.87%EV -9.29%E -3.70%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.26%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.26%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 19:52 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.37%E -4.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.37%E -4.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.26%E -5.53%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -13.26%E -5.53%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -15.32%E -6.13%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -16.03%E -5.73%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |