A Escola das Odds

Vila Nova v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Início: 2026-03-21 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Vila Nova (Local)

Previsão 36.14%2.77odd justa
EV -4.23%
Vantagem -1.60%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.04%36.08%36.18%37.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.522.522.6541.67%39.65%39.68%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante)

Previsão 33.87%2.95odd justa
EV -1.77%
Vantagem -0.611%
Kelly -0.932%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.23%33.91%33.91%35.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.732.752.9040.00%36.65%36.36%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.99%3.33odd justa
EV -3.44%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.30%30.01%29.91%32.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.073.053.2235.71%32.61%32.79%31.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.33%EV -4.23%E -1.60%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.78%EV -3.47%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.90%EV -3.44%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 19:45
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.23%E -1.60%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -13.63%E -5.34%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -11.54%E -3.91%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 19:55
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -4.95%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -1.77%E -0.611%K -0.932%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 19:55
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -6.04%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:55
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.04%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 19:49
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.04%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 19:49
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.93%EV -6.76%E -2.62%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.58%EV -6.51%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -8.84%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:44
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.76%E -2.62%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 19:55
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.76%E -2.62%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 19:54
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:44
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:44
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:44
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:44
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:45
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:44
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:44
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 19:55
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:49
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:50
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:49
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 19:55
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -10.24%E -3.86%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 19:49
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 36.05%EV -8.93%E -3.54%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.16%EV -9.90%E -3.72%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 19:44
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 36.05%EV -8.93%E -3.54%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.16%EV -9.90%E -3.72%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 19:44
Bovada2.51I 39.84%NM 36.87%EV -9.29%E -3.70%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 19:53
BetUS2.51I 39.84%NM 36.87%EV -9.29%E -3.70%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 19:55
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 19:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 19:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 19:54
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 19:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 19:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.26%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 19:49
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.26%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 19:52
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.37%E -4.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 19:44
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.37%E -4.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 19:45
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 19:54
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 19:55
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 19:44
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 19:44
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 19:55
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 19:54
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 19:54
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.26%E -5.53%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-21 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -13.26%E -5.53%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -15.32%E -6.13%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -16.03%E -5.73%K -8.91%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-21 19:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-03-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-03-21 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-03-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-03-21 19:55
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72%3.4%2026-03-21 19:55