L’École des cotes

Vila Nova v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vila Nova (Local)

Prévision 36.14%2.77cote équitable
EV -4.23%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.04%36.08%36.18%37.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.522.522.6541.67%39.65%39.68%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.87%2.95cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.611%
Kelly -0.932%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.23%33.91%33.91%35.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.732.752.9040.00%36.65%36.36%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.99%3.33cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.30%30.01%29.91%32.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.073.053.2235.71%32.61%32.79%31.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.33%EV -4.23%E -1.60%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.78%EV -3.47%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.90%EV -3.44%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 19:45
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.23%E -1.60%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -13.63%E -5.34%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -11.54%E -3.91%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 19:55
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -4.95%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -1.77%E -0.611%K -0.932%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 19:55
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -6.04%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:55
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.04%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 19:49
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.04%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 19:49
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.93%EV -6.76%E -2.62%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.58%EV -6.51%E -2.36%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -8.84%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:44
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.76%E -2.62%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 19:55
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.76%E -2.62%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 19:54
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:44
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:44
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:44
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:44
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:45
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:44
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:44
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 19:55
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:49
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:50
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:49
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 19:55
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.84%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -10.24%E -3.86%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 19:49
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 36.05%EV -8.93%E -3.54%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.16%EV -9.90%E -3.72%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 19:44
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 36.05%EV -8.93%E -3.54%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.16%EV -9.90%E -3.72%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 19:44
Bovada2.51I 39.84%NM 36.87%EV -9.29%E -3.70%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 19:53
BetUS2.51I 39.84%NM 36.87%EV -9.29%E -3.70%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -5.84%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 19:55
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 19:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 19:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 19:54
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 19:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 19:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.26%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 19:49
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.65%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.26%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 19:52
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.37%E -4.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 19:44
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.37%E -4.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 19:45
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 19:54
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 19:55
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 19:44
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 19:44
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 19:55
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 19:54
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.46%E -4.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 19:54
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.26%E -5.53%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-21 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -13.26%E -5.53%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -15.32%E -6.13%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -16.03%E -5.73%K -8.91%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-21 19:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-03-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-03-21 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-03-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-03-21 19:55
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72%3.4%2026-03-21 19:55