語言:繁體中文
Vila Nova v Ceará
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Vila Nova (主隊)
預測 52.23%1.91公平賠率
EV -2.86%
優勢 -1.54%
Kelly -3.32%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.86
博彩公司預測分布
49.61%52.27%52.21%54.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.651.771.771.8660.61%56.38%56.50%53.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Ceará (客隊)
預測 19.97%5.01公平賠率
EV +2.64%
優勢 +0.514%
Kelly +0.638%
成長率 +0.017%
假設最高賠率為 5.14
博彩公司預測分布
18.03%19.94%19.98%22.84%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.854.484.505.1425.97%22.30%22.22%19.46%最小值平均值中位數最大值
和局
預測 27.80%3.60公平賠率
EV -2.69%
優勢 -0.769%
Kelly -1.08%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 3.50
博彩公司預測分布
26.73%27.79%27.81%28.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.28%30.30%28.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Vila Nova (主隊)：52.23%；Ceará (客隊)：19.97%；和局：27.80%。 對於「Ceará (客隊)」，該估計相當於5.01的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為5.14，對應+2.64%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (44 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 和局 | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.68%EV +2.64%E +0.514%K +0.638%G +0.017% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.99%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -13.82%E -8.38%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -0.153%E -0.031%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.92%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.92%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.00%EV -3.15%E -0.649%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.00%EV -3.15%E -0.649%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.15%E -0.864%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.17%E -5.91%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -7.14%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.91%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.19%EV -8.08%E -4.59%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -11.21%E -6.60%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.70%EV -9.74%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -2.69%E -0.769%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.12%E -5.24%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -13.53%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -13.53%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.25%EV -2.86%E -1.54%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -20.12%E -5.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -21.12%E -5.35%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.76%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -22.12%E -5.67%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -22.12%E -5.67%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.61%EV -8.08%E -4.59%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.68%EV -23.12%E -6.00%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.61%EV -8.08%E -4.59%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.68%EV -23.12%E -6.00%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.35% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51% | 0.2% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.50% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |