Langue:Français
Vila Nova v Ceará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vila Nova (Local)
Prévision 52.23%1.91cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -1.54%
Kelly -3.32%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.86
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.61%52.27%52.21%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.771.771.8660.61%56.38%56.50%53.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ceará (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.97%5.01cote équitable
EV +2.64%
Avantage +0.514%
Kelly +0.638%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 5.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.03%19.94%19.98%22.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.484.505.1425.97%22.30%22.22%19.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.80%3.60cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -0.769%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.73%27.79%27.81%28.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.28%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vila Nova (Local) : 52.23% ; Ceará (Visiteur) : 19.97% ; Match nul : 27.80%. Pour Ceará (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.01. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.14, soit une espérance positive de +2.64%.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.68%EV +2.64%E +0.514%K +0.638%G +0.017% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.99%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -13.82%E -8.38%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -0.153%E -0.031%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.92%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.92%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.00%EV -3.15%E -0.649%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.00%EV -3.15%E -0.649%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.15%E -0.864%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.17%E -5.91%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -7.14%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.91%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.19%EV -8.08%E -4.59%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -11.21%E -6.60%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.70%EV -9.74%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -2.69%E -0.769%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.12%E -5.24%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -13.53%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -13.53%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.25%EV -2.86%E -1.54%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -20.12%E -5.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -21.12%E -5.35%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.76%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -22.12%E -5.67%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -22.12%E -5.67%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.61%EV -8.08%E -4.59%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.68%EV -23.12%E -6.00%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.61%EV -8.08%E -4.59%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.68%EV -23.12%E -6.00%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.35% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51% | 0.2% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.50% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |