语言:简体中文
Vila Nova v Ceará
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Vila Nova (主队)
预测 52.23%1.91公平赔率
EV -2.86%
优势 -1.54%
Kelly -3.32%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.86
博彩公司预测分布
49.61%52.27%52.21%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.771.771.8660.61%56.38%56.50%53.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ceará (客队)
预测 19.97%5.01公平赔率
EV +2.64%
优势 +0.514%
Kelly +0.638%
增长率 +0.017%
假设最高赔率为 5.14
博彩公司预测分布
18.03%19.94%19.98%22.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.484.505.1425.97%22.30%22.22%19.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.80%3.60公平赔率
EV -2.69%
优势 -0.769%
Kelly -1.08%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.73%27.79%27.81%28.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.28%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Vila Nova (主队)：52.23%；Ceará (客队)：19.97%；平局：27.80%。 对于“Ceará (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.01。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.14，对应+2.64%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.68%EV +2.64%E +0.514%K +0.638%G +0.017% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.99%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -13.82%E -8.38%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -0.153%E -0.031%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.92%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.92%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.00%EV -3.15%E -0.649%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.00%EV -3.15%E -0.649%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.15%E -0.864%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.17%E -5.91%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -7.14%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.91%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.19%EV -8.08%E -4.59%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -11.21%E -6.60%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.70%EV -9.74%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -2.69%E -0.769%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.12%E -5.24%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -13.53%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -13.53%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.25%EV -2.86%E -1.54%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -20.12%E -5.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -21.12%E -5.35%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.76%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -22.12%E -5.67%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -22.12%E -5.67%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.61%EV -8.08%E -4.59%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.68%EV -23.12%E -6.00%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.61%EV -8.08%E -4.59%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.68%EV -23.12%E -6.00%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.35% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51% | 0.2% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.50% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |