StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Vila Nova v Ceará

Aanvang: 2026-08-30 21:30 UTC

Eindstand: Vila Nova 2–0 Ceará

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

44 wedaanbieders (17 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Vila Nova (Thuis)

Prognose 52.23%1.91margevrije odds
EV -2.86%
Voordeel -1.54%
Kelly -3.32%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.86

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
49.61%52.27%52.21%54.64%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.651.771.771.8660.61%56.38%56.50%53.76%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Ceará (Uit)

Prognose 19.97%5.01margevrije odds
EV +2.64%
Voordeel +0.514%
Kelly +0.638%
Groei +0.017%

bij maximale odds 5.14

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
18.03%19.94%19.98%22.84%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.854.484.505.1425.97%22.30%22.22%19.46%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 27.80%3.60margevrije odds
EV -2.69%
Voordeel -0.769%
Kelly -1.08%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.50

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
26.73%27.79%27.81%28.51%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.28%30.30%28.57%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Vila Nova (Thuis): 52.23%; Ceará (Uit): 19.97%; Gelijkspel: 27.80%. Voor Ceará (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 5.01. 1 wedaanbieder bood slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 5.14, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +2.64%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (44 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼GelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.68%EV +2.64%E +0.514%K +0.638%G +0.017%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.99%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 21:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -13.82%E -8.38%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -0.153%E -0.031%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.92%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.92%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 21:24
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -2.15%E -0.439%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 20:45
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.00%EV -3.15%E -0.649%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 21:25
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.00%EV -3.15%E -0.649%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 21:24
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.15%E -0.864%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 20:50
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 21:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 20:45
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.17%E -5.91%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -7.14%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.91%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 20:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.19%EV -8.08%E -4.59%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 20:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 20:55
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 21:20
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -11.21%E -6.60%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 21:24
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.70%EV -9.74%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -2.69%E -0.769%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 21:24
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 21:20
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 21:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -7.56%E -4.27%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 21:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.12%E -5.24%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 21:20
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 21:20
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 21:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 21:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 21:20
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 20:45
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.76%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.68%EV -13.53%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 21:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -9.64%E -5.58%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -13.53%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 21:05
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.25%EV -2.86%E -1.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 21:24
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 21:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 21:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 21:24
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -16.13%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 21:24
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -20.12%E -5.03%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 21:10
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -21.12%E -5.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.76%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -22.12%E -5.67%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 21:10
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -22.12%E -5.67%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.61%EV -8.08%E -4.59%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.68%EV -23.12%E -6.00%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-30 21:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.61%EV -8.08%E -4.59%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.68%EV -23.12%E -6.00%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-30 21:24
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51%0.2%2026-08-30 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-08-30 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-08-30 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-08-30 21:20
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.50%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%2.1%2026-08-30 21:20