Школа коэффициентов

Sport Recife v Operario PR

Начало: 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC

Итог: Sport Recife 2–2 Operario PR

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

48 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Sport Recife (Хозяева)

Прогноз 48.72%2.05справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.53%
Преимущество -1.78%
Kelly -3.60%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.98

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.01%48.80%48.74%51.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.751.871.871.9857.14%53.42%53.62%50.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Operario PR (Гости)

Прогноз 22.76%4.39справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.41%
Преимущество +0.535%
Kelly +0.688%
Рост +0.017%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.76%22.73%22.79%24.94%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.064.004.5027.78%24.61%25.00%22.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.52%3.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.46%
Преимущество -1.33%
Kelly -1.90%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.37%28.48%28.47%29.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.213.213.3532.26%31.14%31.15%29.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +2.41%E +0.535%K +0.688%G +0.017%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +2.41%E +0.535%K +0.688%G +0.017%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.99%EV -4.50%E -2.30%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV +0.131%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:50
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.26%EV -9.37%E -5.04%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -1.01%E -0.231%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.24%EV -5.60%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 18:53
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.10%EV -9.37%E -5.04%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:55
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:55
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.62%EV -14.73%E -8.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 18:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.38%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.91%E -4.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 18:49
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.83%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.36%EV -5.56%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.81%EV -8.17%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 18:55
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:35
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -10.83%E -5.92%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 18:25
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 49.60%EV -11.81%E -6.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.74%EV -12.30%E -6.83%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-18 18:55
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.83%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.83%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 18:55
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -7.91%E -4.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 18:50
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 18:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 18:50
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 18:50
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 18:50
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 49.38%EV -12.78%E -7.14%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -13.76%E -7.77%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 18:55
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -13.76%E -7.77%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 18:55
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 05:25
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 05:23
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 18:54
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -3.53%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 05:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 05:20
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 18:45
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -10.83%E -5.92%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-18 02:24
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -18.07%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 05:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-07-18 18:55