مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sport Recife v Operario PR

البداية: 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Sport Recife 2–2 Operario PR

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sport Recife (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.72%2.05السعر العادل
EV -3.53%
الأفضلية -1.78%
Kelly -3.60%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.98

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.01%48.80%48.74%51.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.871.871.9857.14%53.42%53.62%50.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Operario PR (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.76%4.39السعر العادل
EV +2.41%
الأفضلية +0.535%
Kelly +0.688%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.76%22.73%22.79%24.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.064.004.5027.78%24.61%25.00%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.52%3.51السعر العادل
EV -4.46%
الأفضلية -1.33%
Kelly -1.90%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.37%28.48%28.47%29.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.213.213.3532.26%31.14%31.15%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +2.41%E +0.535%K +0.688%G +0.017%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +2.41%E +0.535%K +0.688%G +0.017%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.99%EV -4.50%E -2.30%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV +0.131%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:50
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.26%EV -9.37%E -5.04%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -1.01%E -0.231%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.24%EV -5.60%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 18:53
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.10%EV -9.37%E -5.04%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:55
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:55
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.62%EV -14.73%E -8.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 18:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.38%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.91%E -4.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 18:49
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.83%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.36%EV -5.56%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.81%EV -8.17%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 18:55
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:35
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -10.83%E -5.92%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 18:25
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 49.60%EV -11.81%E -6.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.74%EV -12.30%E -6.83%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-18 18:55
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.83%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.83%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 18:55
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -7.91%E -4.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 18:50
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 18:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 18:50
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 18:50
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 18:50
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 49.38%EV -12.78%E -7.14%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -13.76%E -7.77%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 18:55
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -13.76%E -7.77%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 18:55
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 05:25
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 05:23
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 18:54
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 18:50
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -3.53%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 05:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 05:20
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 18:45
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -10.83%E -5.92%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-18 02:24
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -18.07%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 05:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-07-18 18:55