La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Sport Recife v Operario PR
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Sport Recife (Casa)
Previsione 48.72%2.05quota equa
EV -3.53%
Vantaggio -1.78%
Kelly -3.60%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.01%48.80%48.74%51.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.871.871.9857.14%53.42%53.62%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Operario PR (Trasferta)
Previsione 22.76%4.39quota equa
EV +2.41%
Vantaggio +0.535%
Kelly +0.688%
Crescita +0.017%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.76%22.73%22.79%24.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.064.004.5027.78%24.61%25.00%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.52%3.51quota equa
EV -4.46%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.37%28.48%28.47%29.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.213.213.3532.26%31.14%31.15%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +2.41%E +0.535%K +0.688%G +0.017% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +2.41%E +0.535%K +0.688%G +0.017% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.99%EV -4.50%E -2.30%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV +0.131%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.26%EV -9.37%E -5.04%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -1.01%E -0.231%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.24%EV -5.60%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 18:53 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.10%EV -9.37%E -5.04%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.62%EV -14.73%E -8.42%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.38%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.91%E -4.19%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.83%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.36%EV -5.56%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.81%EV -8.17%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -10.83%E -5.92%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.60%EV -11.81%E -6.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.74%EV -12.30%E -6.83%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.83%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.83%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -7.91%E -4.19%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.38%EV -12.78%E -7.14%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -13.76%E -7.77%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -13.76%E -7.77%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 05:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 05:23 |
| betano_uk | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -3.53%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 05:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 05:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -10.83%E -5.92%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-18 02:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -18.07%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-18 05:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |