La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sport Recife v Operario PR
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sport Recife (Local)
Predicción 48.72%2.05momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -3.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.01%48.80%48.74%51.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.871.871.9857.14%53.42%53.62%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Operario PR (Visitante)
Predicción 22.76%4.39momio equitativo
EV +2.41%
Ventaja +0.535%
Kelly +0.688%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.76%22.73%22.79%24.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.064.004.5027.78%24.61%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.52%3.51momio equitativo
EV -4.46%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -1.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.37%28.48%28.47%29.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.213.213.3532.26%31.14%31.15%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +2.41%E +0.535%K +0.688%G +0.017% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +2.41%E +0.535%K +0.688%G +0.017% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.99%EV -4.50%E -2.30%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV +0.131%E +0.030%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.26%EV -9.37%E -5.04%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -1.01%E -0.231%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.24%EV -5.60%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 18:53 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.10%EV -9.37%E -5.04%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.62%EV -14.73%E -8.42%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -2.14%E -0.499%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.38%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.91%E -4.19%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.83%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.36%EV -5.56%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.81%EV -8.17%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -10.83%E -5.92%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.60%EV -11.81%E -6.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.74%EV -12.30%E -6.83%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.83%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -7.83%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -7.91%E -4.19%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.38%EV -12.78%E -7.14%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -13.76%E -7.77%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -13.76%E -7.77%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 05:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 05:23 |
| betano_uk | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.25%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -3.53%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 05:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 05:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -10.83%E -5.92%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-18 02:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -18.07%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-18 05:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |