A Escola das Odds

Sport Recife v Grêmio Novorizontino

Início: 2026-04-25 23:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sport Recife (Local)

Previsão 44.13%2.27odd justa
EV -6.44%
Vantagem -3.04%
Kelly -5.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.10%44.04%44.14%45.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.082.092.1250.00%48.06%47.85%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (Visitante)

Previsão 26.92%3.71odd justa
EV -3.09%
Vantagem -0.859%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.14%26.86%26.91%28.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.443.453.6031.25%29.07%28.99%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.95%3.45odd justa
EV -4.47%
Vantagem -1.35%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.00%29.10%28.95%31.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.91%31.75%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.53%EV -3.90%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -4.76%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:15
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:29
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:30
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:29
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:29
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:29
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:30
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:29
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:19
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:09
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:10
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:34
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.70%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -6.79%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:15
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 23:35
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:15
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:09
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:54
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 23:49
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:09
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:09
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:09
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -17.50%E -6.14%K -9.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 12:20
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -6.32%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -6.79%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 03:10
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 00:15
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 00:15
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 01:30
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:06
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.05%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -11.71%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 01:30
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -9.09%E -4.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -11.71%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 01:30
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:09
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 23:48
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:33
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:19
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-24 03:09
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 15:35
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:54
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:54
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:25
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 01:30
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 01:29
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 08:29
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -18.94%E -6.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-20 00:16
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08%9.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08%9.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 42.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%12.2%2026-04-23 09:05
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.10%13.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.70%13.9%2026-04-24 03:25