مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sport Recife v Grêmio Novorizontino

البداية: 2026-04-25 23:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sport Recife (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.13%2.27السعر العادل
EV -6.44%
الأفضلية -3.04%
Kelly -5.75%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.10%44.04%44.14%45.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.082.092.1250.00%48.06%47.85%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.92%3.71السعر العادل
EV -3.09%
الأفضلية -0.859%
Kelly -1.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.14%26.86%26.91%28.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.443.453.6031.25%29.07%28.99%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.95%3.45السعر العادل
EV -4.47%
الأفضلية -1.35%
Kelly -1.94%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.00%29.10%28.95%31.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.91%31.75%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.53%EV -3.90%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -4.76%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:15
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:29
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:30
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:29
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:29
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:29
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:30
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 01:29
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:19
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:09
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:10
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:34
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.70%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -6.79%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:15
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 23:35
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:15
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:09
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:54
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 23:49
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:09
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:09
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:09
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -17.50%E -6.14%K -9.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 12:20
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -6.32%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -6.79%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 03:10
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 00:15
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 00:15
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 01:30
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:06
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.05%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -11.71%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 01:30
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -9.09%E -4.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -11.71%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 01:30
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:09
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 23:48
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:33
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:19
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-24 03:09
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 15:35
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:54
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:54
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:25
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 01:30
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 01:29
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 08:29
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -18.94%E -6.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-20 00:16
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08%9.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08%9.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 42.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%12.2%2026-04-23 09:05
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.10%13.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.70%13.9%2026-04-24 03:25