La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sport Recife v Grêmio Novorizontino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sport Recife (Local)
Predicción 44.13%2.27momio equitativo
EV -6.44%
Ventaja -3.04%
Kelly -5.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.10%44.04%44.14%45.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.082.092.1250.00%48.06%47.85%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visitante)
Predicción 26.92%3.71momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -0.859%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.14%26.86%26.91%28.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.443.453.6031.25%29.07%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.95%3.45momio equitativo
EV -4.47%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.00%29.10%28.95%31.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.91%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.53%EV -3.90%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -4.76%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.70%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -6.79%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-20 23:49 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -17.50%E -6.14%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -6.32%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -6.79%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 00:15 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 00:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -8.20%E -3.94%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Bovada | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 03:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.05%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -11.71%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -9.09%E -4.41%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -11.71%E -3.84%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 23:48 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 12:33 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 12:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -18.94%E -6.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-20 00:16 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.08% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.08% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.86% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 09:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 30.10% | 13.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 30.70% | 13.9% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |